Profit Forecasting in Crop Production: The Case of Gazipaşa

Agriculture sector in Turkey is among the largest, employing one out of every five working people. In this study agricultural crop income Turkey’s Gazipaşa district analyzed. Located on coast Mediterranean, district’s main economy based agriculture with 81 different crops currently cultivated 43 regions. For each type, total planted land size, yield, wholesale price and operating costs are determined using data from Turkish Statistical Institute Directorate Agriculture. Crop types ranked their economic returns top 30 that corresponds to 96.45% determined. Profit forecasts made for those next 15 years. Future prices forecasted linear trend projection. The annual loan interest rate 7.5% used estimate increase costs. Results show profit increases slowly 11 years then decreases. Moreover, profitability only 18 types. Internal return also found be 15%. Findings suggest current diversity not economically sustainable a better production plan required.